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-% language=uk
-
-% naming-nature.jog
-
-\startcomponent musings-children
-
-\environment musings-style
-
-\definedescription
- [presomething]
- [headstyle=\bold,
- alternative=hanging,
- width=fit,
- hang=1]
-
-\startchapter[title={Children of \TEX}]
-
-\startsection[title={The theme}]
-
-Nearly always \TEX\ conferences carry a theme. As there have been many
-conferences the organizers have run out of themes involving fonts, macros and
-typesetting and are now cooking up more fuzzy ones. Take the Bacho\TUG\ 2017
-theme:
-
-\startnarrower[left,8*right] \startpacked
-\startpresomething {Premises}
- The starting point, what we have, what do we use, what has been achieved?
-\stoppresomething
-\startpresomething {Predilections}
- How do we act now, how do we want to act, what is important to us and what do
- we miss?
-\stoppresomething
-\startpresomething {Predictions}
- What is the future of \TEX, what we'd like to achieve and can we influence
- it?
-\stoppresomething
-\stoppacked \stopnarrower
-
-My first impression with these three P words was: what do they mean? Followed by
-the thought: this is no longer a place to take kids to. But the Internet gives
-access to the Cambridge Dictionary, so instead of running to the dusty meter of
-dictionaries somewhere else in my place, I made sure that I googled the most
-recent definitions:
-
-\startnarrower[left] \startpacked
-\startpresomething {premise}
- an idea or theory on which a statement or action is based
-\stoppresomething
-\startpresomething {predilection}
- if someone has a predilection for something, they like it a lot
-\stoppresomething
-\startpresomething {prediction}
- a statement about what you think will happen in the future
-\stoppresomething
-\stoppacked \stopnarrower
-
-I won't try to relate these two sets of definitions but several words stand out
-in the second set: idea, theory, action, like, statement and future. Now, as a
-preparation for the usual sobering thoughts that Jerzy, Volker and I have when we
-staring into a Bacho\TEX\ campfire I decided to wrap up some ideas around these
-themes and words. The books that I will mention are just a selection of what you
-can find distributed around my place. This is not some systematic research but
-just the result of a few weeks making a couple of notes while pondering about
-this conference.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=Introduction]
-
-One cannot write the amount of \TEX\ macros that I've written without also liking
-books. If you look at my bookshelves the topics are somewhat spread over the
-possible spectrum of topics: history, biology, astronomy, paleontology, general
-science but surprisingly little math. There are a bunch of typography|-|related
-books but only some have been read: it's the visuals that matter most and as
-there are no real developments I haven't bought new ones in over a decade,
-although I do buy books that look nice for our office display but the content
-should be interesting too. Of course I do have a couple of books about computer
-(related) science and technology but only a few are worth a second look.
-Sometimes I bought computer books expecting to use them (in some project) but I
-must admit that most have not been read and many will soon end up in the paper
-bin (some already went that way). I'll make an exception for Knuth, Wirth and a
-few other fundamental ones that I (want to) read. And, I need to catch up on deep
-learning, so that might need a book.
-
-My colleagues and I have many discussions, especially about what we read, and
-after a few decades one starts seeing patterns. Therefore the last few years it
-was a pleasant surprise for me to run into books and lectures that nicely
-summarize what one has noticed and discussed in a consistent way. My memory is
-not that good, but good enough to let some bells ring.
-
-\startplacefigure[location=top]
- \startcombination[nx=4,ny=1,width=\textwidth,distance=0pt]
- {\externalfigure[covers/sapiens.jpg] [height=5cm]} {history}
- {\externalfigure[covers/homo-deus.jpg] [height=5cm]} {futurology}
- {\externalfigure[covers/children-of-time.jpg] [height=5cm]} {science fiction}
- {\externalfigure[covers/superintelligence.jpg][height=5cm]} {informatics}
- \stopcombination
-\stopplacefigure
-
-The first book that gave me this \quotation {finally a perfect summary of
-historic developments} feeling is \quotation{Sapiens} by Yuval Noah Harari. The
-author summarizes human history from a broad perspective where modern views on
-psychology, anthropology and technical developments are integrated. It's a follow
-up on a history writing trend started by Jared Diamond. The follow up \quotation
-{Homo Deus} looks ahead and is just as well written. It also integrates ideas
-from other fields, for instance those related to development of artificial
-intelligence (Dennett, Bostrom, etc.).
-
-Another inspiration for this talk and article is the 50 hour lecture series on
-behavioral biology by Robert Sapolsky of Stanford University, brought to my
-attention by my nephew Bram who visited a few \TEX\ conferences with me and who
-is now also forced to use \TEX\ for assignments and reports. (How come
-self|-|published books used at universities often look so bad?)
-
-The title of this talk is inspired by the book \quotation {Children of Time} by
-Adrian Tchaikovsky that I read recently. There are science fiction writers who
-focus on long term science and technology, such as some of Alastair Reynolds,
-while others follow up on recent development in all kind of sciences. One can
-recognize aspects of \quotation {Superintelligence} by Bostrom in Neal Asher's
-books, insights in psychology in the older Greg Bear books, while in the
-mentioned \quotation {Children of Time} (socio)biological insights dominate. The
-main thread in that book is the development of intelligence, social behaviour,
-language, script and cooperation in a species quite different from us: spiders.
-It definitely avoids the anthropocentric focus that we normally have.
-
-So how does this relate to the themes of the Bacho\TEX\ conference? I will pick
-out some ways to approach them using ideas from the kind of resources mentioned
-above. I could probably go on and on for pages because once you start relating
-what you read and hear to this \TEX\ ecosystem and community, there is no end.
-So, consider this a snapshot, that somehow relates to the themes:
-
-\startnarrower[left,8*right] \startpacked
-\startpresomething {premise}
- Let's look at what the live sciences have to say about \TEX\ and friends and
- let's hope that I don't offend the reader and the field.
-\stoppresomething
-\startpresomething {predilection}
- Let's figure out what brings us here to this place deeply hidden in the woods,
- a secret gathering of the \TEX\ sect.
-\stoppresomething
-\startpresomething {prediction}
- Let's see if the brains present here can predict the future because after
- all, according to Dennett, that is what brains are for.
-\stoppresomething
-\stoppacked \stopnarrower
-
-At school I was already intrigued by patterns in history: a cyclic, spiral and
-sinusoid social evolution instead of a pure linear sequence of events. It became
-my first typeset|-|by|-|typewriter document: Is history an exact science? Next I
-will use and abuse patterns and ideas to describe the \TEX\ world, not wearing a
-layman's mathematical glasses, but more from the perspective of live sciences,
-where chaos dominates.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title={The larger picture}]
-
-History of mankind can be roughly summarized as follows. For a really long time
-we were hunters but at some point (10K years ago) became farmers. As a result we
-could live in larger groups and still feed them. The growing complexity of
-society triggered rules and religion as instruments for stability and
-organization (I use the term religion in its broadest sense here). For quite a
-while cultures came and went, and climate changes are among the reasons.
-
-After the industrial revolution new religions were invented (social, economic and
-national liberalism) and we're now getting dataism (search for Harari on youtube
-for a better summary). Some pretty great minds seem to agree that we're heading
-to a time when humans as we are will be outdated. Massive automation, interaction
-between the self and computer driven ecosystems, lack of jobs and purpose,
-messing around with our genome. Some countries and cultures still have to catch
-up on the industrial revolution, if they manage at all, and maybe we ourselves
-will be just as behind reality soon. Just ask yourself: did you manage to catch
-up? Is \TEX\ a stone age tool or a revolutionary turning point?
-
-A few decades ago a trip to Bacho\TEX\ took more than a day. Now you drive there
-in just over half a day. There was a time that it took weeks: preparation,
-changing horses, avoiding bad roads. Not only your own man|-|hours were involved.
-It became easier later (my first trip took only 24 hours) and recently it turned
-into a piece of cake: you don't pick up maps but start your device; you don't
-need a travel agent but use the Internet; there are no border patrols, you can
-just drive on. (Okay, maybe some day soon border patrols at the Polish border
-show up again, just like road tax police in Germany, but that might be a
-temporary glitch.)
-
-Life gets easier and jobs get lost. Taxi and truck drivers, travel agents, and
-cashiers become as obsolete as agricultural workers before. Next in line are
-doctors, lawyers, typesetters, printers, and all those who think they're safe.
-Well, how many people were needed 400 years ago to produce the proceedings of a
-conference like this in a few days' time span? Why read the introduction of a
-book or a review when you can just listen to the author's summary on the web? How
-many conferences still make proceedings (or go for videos instead), will we
-actually need editors and typesetters in the future? How much easier has it
-become to design a font, including variants? What stories can designers tell in
-the future when programs do the lot? The narrower your speciality is, the worse
-are your changes; hopefully the people present at this conference operate on a
-broader spectrum. It's a snapshot. I will show some book covers as reference but
-am aware that years ago or ahead the selection could have been different.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=Words]
-
-Words (whatever they represent) found a perfect spot to survive: our minds. Then
-they made it from speech (and imagination) into writing: carved in stone, wood,
-lead. At some point they managed to travel over wires but no matter what
-happened, they are still around. Typesetting as visualization is also still
-surrounding us so that might give us a starting point for ensuring a future for
-\TEX\ to work on, because \TEX\ is all about words. There is a lot we don't see;
-imagine if our eyes had microscopic qualities. What if we could hear beyond
-20KHz. Imagine we could see infrared. How is that with words. What tools, similar
-in impact as \TEX, can evolve once we figure that out. What if we get access to
-the areas of our brain that hold information? We went from print to screen and
-\TEX\ could cope with that. Can it cope with what comes next?
-
-The first printing press replaced literal copying by hand. Later we got these
-linotype|-|like machines but apart from a few left, these are already thrown out
-of windows (as we saw in a movie a few Bacho\TeX's ago). Photo|-|typesetting has
-been replaced too and because a traditional centuries old printing press is a
-nice to see item, these probably ring more bells than that gray metal closed box
-typesetters. Organizers of \TEX\ conferences love to bring the audience to old
-printing workshops and museums. At some point computers got used for typesetting
-and in that arena \TEX\ found its place. These gray closed boxes are way less
-interesting than something mechanical that at least invites us to touch it. How
-excited can one be about a stack of \TEX\,Live \DVD{}s?
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=Remembering]
-
-Two times I visited the part of the science museum in London with young family
-members: distracted by constantly swiping their small powerful devices, they
-didn't have the least interest in the exhibited computer related items, let alone
-the fact that the couch they were sitting on was a Cray mainframe. Later on,
-climbing on some old monument or an old cannon seemed more fun. So, in a few
-decades folks will still look at wooden printing presses but quickly walk through
-the part of an exhibition where the tools that we use are shown. We need to find
-ways to look interesting. But don't think we're unique: how many kids find
-graphical trend|-|setting games like Myst and Riven still interesting? On the
-other hand a couple of month ago a bunch of nieces and nephews had a lot of fun
-with an old Atari console running low|-|res bitmap games. Maybe there is hope for
-good old \TEX.
-
-If indeed we're heading to a radically different society one can argue if this
-whole discussion makes sense. When the steam engine showed up, the metaphor for
-what went on in our heads was that technology, It's a popular example of speakers
-on this topic: \quotation {venting off steam}. When electricity and radio came
-around metaphors like \quotation {being on the same wavelength} showed up. A few
-decades ago the computer replaced that model although in the meantime the model
-is more neurobiological: we're a hormone and neurotransmitter driven computer. We
-don't have memory the way computers do.
-
-How relevant will page breaks, paragraph and line breaks be in the future? Just
-like \quotation {venting off steam} may make no sense to the youth, asking a
-typesetter to \quotation {give me a break} might not make much sense soon.
-However, when discussing automated typesetting the question \quotation {are we on
-the same page} still has relevance.
-
-Typesetting with a computer might seem like the ultimate solution but it's
-actually rather dumb when we consider truly intelligent systems. On the large
-scale of history and developments what we do might get quite unnoticed. Say that
-mankind survives the next few hundred years one way or the other. Science fiction
-novels by Jack McDevitt have an interesting perspective of rather normal humans
-millennia ahead of us who look back on these times in the same way as we look
-back now. Nothing fundamental changed in the way we run society. Nearly nothing
-from the past is left over and apart from being ruled by \AI{}s people still do
-sort of what they do now. \TEX ? What is that? Well, there once was this great
-computer scientist Knuth (in the remembered row of names like Aristotle |<|I just
-started reading \quotation {The Lagoon} by Armand Leroi|>| Newton, Einstein, his
-will show up) who had a group of followers that used a program that he seems to
-have written. And even that is unlikely to be remembered, unless maybe user
-groups manage to organize an archive and pass that on. Maybe the fact that \TEX\
-was one of the first large scale open source programs, of which someone can study
-the history, makes it a survivor. The first program that was properly documented
-in detail! But then we need to make sure that it gets known and persists.
-
-\startsection[title=Automation]
-
-In a recent interview Daniel Dennett explains that his view of the mind as a big
-neural network, one that can be simulated in software on silicon, is a bit too
-simplistic. He wonders if we shouldn't more tend to think of a network of
-(selfish) neurons that group together in tasks and then compete with each other,
-if only because they want to have something to do.
-
-Maybe attempts to catch the creative mindset and working of a typesetter in
-algorithms is futile. What actually is great typography or good typesetting?
-Recently I took a look at my bookshelf wondering what to get rid of \emdash\
-better do that now than when I'm too old to carry the crap down (crap being
-defined as uninteresting content or bad looking). I was surprised about the
-on|-|the|-|average bad quality of the typesetting and print. It's also not really
-getting better. One just gets accustomed to what is the norm at a certain point.
-Whenever they change the layout and look and feel of the newspaper I read the
-arguments are readability and ease of access. Well, I never had such a hard time
-reading my paper as today (with my old eyes).
-
-Are we, like Dennett, willing to discard old views on our tools and models? When
-my first computer was a \RCA\ 1802 based kit, that had 256 bytes of memory. My
-current laptop (from 2013) is a Dell Precision workstation with an extreme quad
-core processor and 16 GB of memory and ssd storage. Before I arrived there I
-worked with \DECTEN, \VAX\ and the whole range of Intel \CPU{}s. So if you really
-want to compare a brain with a computer, take your choice.
-
-I started with \TEX\ on a 4 MHz desk top with 640 MB memory and a 10 MB hard
-disk. Running \CONTEXT\ \MKIV\ with \LUATEX\ on such a machine is no option at
-all, but I still carry the burden of trying to write efficient code (which is
-still somewhat reflected in the code that makes up \CONTEXT). In the decades that
-we have been using \TEX\ we had to adapt! Demands changed, possibilities changed,
-technologies changed. And they keep changing. How many successive changes can a
-\TEX\ user handle? Sometimes, when I look and listen I wonder.
-
-\startplacefigure[location=top]
- \startcombination[nx=4,ny=1,width=\textwidth,distance=0pt]
- {\externalfigure[covers/the-mind-in-the-cave.jpg] [height=5cm]} {paleontology}
- {\externalfigure[covers/the-ancestors-tale.jpg] [height=5cm]} {evolutionary biology}
- {\externalfigure[covers/the-good-book-of-human-nature.jpg][height=5cm]} {anthropology}
- {\externalfigure[covers/chaos-and-harmony.jpg] [height=5cm]} {physics}
- \stopcombination
-\stopplacefigure
-
-If you look back, that is, if you read about the tens of thousands of years that
-it took humans to evolve (\quotation {The mind in the cave} by Lewis|-|Williams
-is a good exercise) you realize even more in what a fast|-|paced time we live and
-that we're witnessing transitions of another magnitude.
-
-In the evolution of species some tools were invented multiple times, like eyes.
-You see the same in our \TEX\ world: multiple (sub)macro packages, different font
-technologies, the same solutions but with an alternative approach. Some
-disappear, some stay around. Just like different circumstances demand different
-solutions in nature, so do different situations in typesetting, for instance
-different table rendering solutions. Sometime I get the feeling that we focus too
-much on getting rid of all but one solution while more natural would be to accept
-diversity, like bio|-|diversity is accepted. Transitions nowadays happen faster
-but the question is if, like aeons before, we (have to) let them fade away. When
-evolution is discussed the terms \quote {random}, \quote {selection}, \quote
-{fit}, and so on are used. This probably also applies to typography: at some
-point a font can be used a lot, but in the end the best readable and most
-attractive one will survive. Newspapers are printed in many copies, but rare
-beautiful books hold value. Of course, just like in nature some developments
-force the further path of development, we don't suddenly grow more legs or digits
-on our hands. The same happens with \TEX\ on a smaller timescale: successors
-still have the same core technology, also because if we'd drop it, it would be
-something different and then give a reason to reconsider using such technology
-(which likely would result in going by another path).
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=Quality]
-
-Richard Dawkins \quotation {The Ancestor's Tale} is a non|-|stop read. In a
-discussion with Jared Diamond about religion and evolution they ponder this
-thread: you holding the hand of your mother who is handing her mother's hand and
-so on till at some point fish get into the picture. The question then is, when do
-we start calling something human? And a related question is, when does what we
-call morality creeps in? Is 50\% neanderthaler human or not?
-
-So, in the history of putting thoughts on paper: where does \TEX\ fit in? When do
-we start calling something automated typesetting? When do we decide that we have
-quality? Is \TEX\ so much different from its predecessors? And when we see
-aspects of \TEX\ (or related font technology) in more modern programs, do we see
-points where we cross qualitative or other boundaries? Is a program doing a
-better job than a human? Where do we stand? There are fields where there is no
-doubt that machines outperform humans. It's probably a bit more difficult in
-aesthetic fields except perhaps when we lower the conditions and expectations
-(something that happens a lot).
-
-For sure \TEX\ will become obsolete, maybe even faster that we think, but so will
-other typesetting technologies. Just look back and have no illusions. Till then
-we can have our fun and eventually, when we have more free time than we need, we
-might use it out of hobbyism. Maybe \TEX\ will be remembered by probably its most
-important side effect: the first large scale open source, the time when users met
-over programs, Knuth's disciples gathered in user groups, etc. The tools that we
-use are just a step in an evolution. And, as with evolution, most branches are
-pruned. So, when in the far future one looks back, will they even notice \TEX ?
-The ancestor's tail turns the tree upside down: at the end of the successful
-branch one doesn't see the dead ends.
-
-Just a thought: \CD{}s and media servers are recently being replaced (or at least
-accompanied) by Long Play records. In the shop where I buy my \CD{}s the space
-allocated to records grows at the cost of more modern media. So, maybe at some
-point retro|-|typesetting will pop up. Of course it might skip \TEX\ and end up
-at woodcutting or printing with lead.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=What mission]
-
-We rely on search engines instead of asking around or browsing libraries. Do
-students really still read books and manuals or do they just search and listen to
-lectures. Harari claims that instead of teaching kids facts in school we should
-just take for granted that they can get all the data they want and that we should
-learn them how to deal with data and adapt to what is coming. We take for granted
-that small devices with human voices show us the route to drive to Bacho\TEX, for
-instance, although by now I can drive it without help. In fact, kids can surprise
-you by asking if we're driving in Germany when we are already in Poland.
-
-We accept that computer programs help physicians in analyzing pictures. Some wear
-watches that warn them about health issues, and I know a few people who monitor
-their sugar levels electronically instead of relying on their own measurements.
-We seem to believe and trust the programs. And indeed, we also believe that \TEX\
-does the job in the best way possible. How many people really understand the way
-\TEX\ works?
-
-We still have mailing lists where we help each other. There are also wikis and
-forums like stack exchange. But who says that even a moderate bit of artificial
-intelligence doesn't answer questions better. Of course there needs to be input
-(manuals, previous answers, etc.) but just like we need fewer people as workforce
-soon, the number of experts needed also can be smaller. And we're still talking
-about a traditional system like \TEX. Maybe the social experience that we have on
-these media will survive somehow, although: how many people are members of
-societies, participate in demonstrations, meet weekly in places where ideas get
-exchanged, compared to a few decades ago? That being said, I love to watch posts
-with beautiful \CONTEXT\ solutions or listen to talks by enthusiastic users who
-do things I hadn't expected. I really hope that this property survives, just like
-I hope that we will be able to see the difference between a real user's response
-and one from an intelligent machine (an unrealistic hope I fear). Satisfaction
-wins and just like our neurological subsystems at some point permanently adapt to
-thresholds (given that you trigger things often enough), we get accustomed to
-what \TEX\ provides and so we stick to it.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title={Intelligence versus consciousness}]
-
-Much of what we do is automated. You don't need to think of which leg to move and
-what foot to put down when you walk. Reacting to danger also to a large extent is
-automated. It doesn't help much to start thinking about how dangerous a lion can
-be when it's coming after you, you'd better move fast. Our limbic system is
-responsible for such automated behaviour, for instance driven by emotions. The
-more difficult tasks and thoughts about them happen in the frontal cortex (sort
-of).
-
-\startplacefigure[location=top]
- \startcombination[nx=4,ny=1,width=\textwidth,distance=0pt]
- {\externalfigure[covers/death-by-black-hole.jpg] [height=5cm]} {astronomy}
- {\externalfigure[covers/the-formula.jpg] [height=5cm]} {informatics}
- {\externalfigure[covers/hals-legacy.jpg] [height=5cm]} {future science}
- {\externalfigure[covers/lucky-planet.jpg] [height=5cm]} {earth science}
- \stopcombination
-\stopplacefigure
-
-For most users \TEX\ is like the limbic system: there is not much thinking
-involved, and the easy solutions are the ones used. Just like hitting a nerve
-triggers a chain of reactions, hitting a key eventually produces a typeset
-document. Often this is best because the job needs to get done and no one really
-cares how it looks; just copy a preamble, key in the text and assume that it
-works out well (enough). It is tempting to compare \TEX's penalties, badness and
-other parameters with levels of hormones and neurotransmitters. Their function
-depends on where they get used and the impact can be accumulated, blocked or
-absent. It's all magic, especially when things interact.
-
-Existing \TEX\ users, developers and user groups of course prefer to think
-otherwise, that it is a positive choice by free will. That new users have looked
-around and arrived at \TEX\ for good reason: their frontal cortex steering a
-deliberate choice. Well, it might have played a role but the decision to use
-\TEX\ might in the end be due to survival skills: I want to pass this exam and
-therefore I will use that weird system called \TEX.
-
-All animals, us included, have some level of intelligence but also have this hard
-to describe property that we think makes us what we are. Intelligence and
-consciousness are not the same (at least we know a bit about the first but nearly
-nothing about the second). We can argue about how well composed some music is but
-why we like it is a different matter.
-
-We can make a well thought out choice for using \TEX\ for certain tasks but can
-we say why we started liking it (or not)? Why it gives us pleasure or maybe
-grief? Has it become a drug that we got addicted to? So, one can make an
-intelligent decision about using \TEX\ but getting a grip on why we like it can
-be hard. Do we enjoy the first time struggle? Probably not. Do we like the folks
-involved? Yes, Don Knuth is a special and very nice person. Can we find help and
-run into a friendly community? Yes, and a unique one too, annoying at times,
-often stimulating and on the average friendly for all the odd cases running
-around.
-
-Artificial intelligence is pretty ambitious, so speaking of machine intelligence
-is probably better. Is \TEX\ an intelligent program? There is definitely some
-intelligence built in and the designer of that program is for sure very
-intelligent. The designer is also a conscious entity: he likes what he did and
-finds pleasure in using it. The program on the other hand is just doing its job:
-it doesn't care how it's done and how long it takes: a mindless entity. So here
-is a question: do we really want a more intelligent program doing the job for us,
-or do those who attend conferences like Bacho\TEX\ enjoy \TEX ing so much that
-they happily stay with what they have now? Compared to rockets tumbling down
-and|/|or exploding or Mars landers thrashing themselves due to programming errors
-of interactions, \TEX\ is surprisingly stable and bug free.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title={Individual versus group evolution}]
-
-After listening for hours to Sapolsky you start getting accustomed to remarks
-about (unconscious) behaviour driven by genes, expression and environment, aimed
-at \quotation {spreading many copies of your genes}. In most cases that is an
-individual's driving force. However, cooperation between individuals plays a role
-in this. A possible view is that we have now reached a state where survival is
-more dependent on a group than on an individual. This makes sense when we
-consider that developments (around us) can go way faster than regular evolution
-(adaptation) can handle. We take control over evolution, a mechanism that needs
-time to adapt and time is something we don't give it anymore.
-
-Why does \TEX\ stay around? It started with an individual but eventually it's the
-groups that keeps it going. A too|-|small group won't work but too|-|large groups
-won't work either. It's a known fact that one can only handle some 150 social
-contacts: we evolved in small bands that split when they became too large. Larger
-groups demanded abstract beliefs and systems to deal with the numbers: housing,
-food production, protection. The \TEX\ user groups also provide some
-organization: they organize meetings, somehow keep development going and provide
-infrastructure and distributions. They are organized around languages. According
-to Diamond new languages are still discovered but many go extinct too. So the
-potential for language related user groups is not really growing.
-
-Some of the problems that we face in this world have become too large to be dealt
-with by individuals and nations. In spite of what anti|-|globalists want we
-cannot deal with our energy hunger, environmental issues, lack of natural
-resources, upcoming technologies without global cooperation. We currently see a
-regression in cooperation by nationalistic movements, protectionism and the usual
-going back to presumed better times, but that won't work.
-
-Local user groups are important but the number of members is not growing. There
-is some cooperation between groups but eventually we might need to combine the
-groups into one which might succeed unless one wants to come first. Of course we
-will get the same sentiments and arguments as in regular politics but on the
-other hand, we already have the advantage of \TEX\ systems being multi|-|lingual
-and users sharing interest in the diversity of usage and users. The biggest
-challenge is to pass on what we have achieved. We're just a momentary highlight
-and let's not try to embrace some \quotation {\TEX\ first} madness.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startplacefigure[location=top]
- \startcombination[nx=4,ny=1,width=\textwidth,distance=0pt]
- {\externalfigure[covers/3-16.jpg] [height=5cm]} {art}
- % {\externalfigure[covers/dirt.jpg] [height=5cm]} {history}
- {\externalfigure[covers/the-winds-of-change.jpg] [height=5cm]} {history}
- {\externalfigure[covers/pale-blue-dot.jpg] [height=5cm]} {astronomy}
- {\externalfigure[covers/the-third-chimpanzee.jpg][height=5cm]} {history}
- \stopcombination
-\stopplacefigure
-
-\startsection[title=Sexes]
-
-Most species have two sexes but it is actually a continuum controlled by hormones
-and genetic expression: we just have to accept it. Although the situation has
-improved there are plenty of places where some gender relationships are
-considered bad even to the extent that one's life can be in danger. Actually
-having strong ideas about these issues is typically human. But in the end one has
-to accept the continuum.
-
-In a similar way we just have to accept that \TEX\ usage, application of \TEX\
-engines, etc.\ is a continuum and not a batch versus \WYSIWYG\ battle any more.
-It's disturbing to read strong recommendations not to use this or that. Of the
-many macro packages that showed up only a few were able to survive. How do users
-of outlines look at bitmaps, how do \DVI\ lovers look at \PDF. But, as
-typesetting relates to esthetics, strong opinions come with the game.
-
-Sapolsky reports about a group of baboons where due to the fact that they get the
-first choice of food the alpha males of pack got poisoned, so that the remaining
-suppressed males who treated the females well became dominant. In fact they can
-then make sure that no new alpha male from outside joins the pack without
-behaving like they do. A sort of social selection. In a similar fashion, until
-now the gatherings of \TEX ies managed to keep its social properties and has not
-been dominated by for instance commerce.
-
-% So, maybe should focus on acceptance and tolerance and then make sure that that
-% we keep what we have and let it not be influenced too much by sectarianism. It
-% makes a nice topic for a meeting of the context (sub)group, that actually has a
-% women as driving force. How can we preserve what we have but still proceed is a
-% legitimate question. Where do we stand in the landscape.
-
-In the animal world often sexes relate to appearance. The word sexy made it to
-other domains as well. Is \TEX\ sexy? For some it is. We often don't see the real
-colors of birds. What looks gray to us looks vivid to a bird which sees in a
-different spectrum. The same is true for \TEX. Some users see a command line
-(shell) and think: this is great! Others just see characters and keystrokes and
-are more attracted to an interactive program. When I see a graphic made by
-\METAPOST, I always note how exact it is. Others don't care if their interactive
-effort doesn't connect the dots well. Some people (also present here) think that
-we should make \TEX\ attractive but keep in mind that like and dislike are not
-fixed human properties. Some mindsets might as well be the result from our
-makeup, others can be driven by culture.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=Religion]
-
-One of Sapolsky's lectures is about religion and it comes in the sequence of
-mental variations including depression and schizophrenia, because all these
-relate to mental states, emotions, thresholds and such (all things human). That
-makes it a tricky topic which is why it has not been taped. As I was raised in a
-moderate Protestant tradition I can imagine that it's an uncomfortable topic
-instead. But there are actually a few years older videos around and they are
-interesting to watch and not as threatening as some might expect. Here I just
-stick to some common characteristics.
-
-If you separate the functions that religions play into for instance explanation
-of the yet unknown, social interactions, control of power and regulation of
-morals, then it's clear why at \TEX\ user group meetings the religious aspect of
-\TEX\ has been discussed in talks. Those who see programs as infallible and
-always right and don't understand the inner working can see it as an almighty
-entity. In the Netherlands church-going diminishes but it looks like alternative
-meetings are replacing it (and I'm not talking of football matches). So what are
-our \TEX\ meetings? What do we believe in? The reason that I bring up this aspect
-is that in the \TEX\ community we can find aspects of the more extremist aspects
-of religions: if you don't use the macro package that I use, you're wrong. If you
-don't use the same operating system as I do, you're evil. You will be punished if
-you use the wrong editor for \TEX ? Why don't you use this library (which, by the
-way, just replaced that other one)? We create angels and daemons. Even for quite
-convinced atheists (it's not hard to run into them on youtube) a religion only
-survives when it has benefits, something that puzzles them. So when we're
-religious about \TEX\ and friends we have to make sure that it's at least
-beneficial. Also, maybe we fall in Dennett's category of \quotation {believers
-who want to believe}: it helps us to do our job if we just believe that we have
-the perfect tool. Religion has inspired visual and aural art and keeps doing
-that. (Don Knuth's current musical composition project is a good example of
-this.)
-
-Scientists can be religious, in flexible ways too, which is demonstrated by Don
-Knuth. In fact, I'm pretty sure \TEX\ would not be in the position it is in now
-if it weren't for his knowledgeable, inspirational, humorous, humble, and always
-positive presence. And for sure he's not at all religious about the open source
-software that he sent viral.
-
-I'm halfway through reading \quotation {The Good Book of Human Nature} (An
-Evolutionary Reading of the Bible) a book about the evolution of the bible and
-monotheism which is quite interesting. It discusses for instance how transitions
-from a hunter to a farmer society demanded a change of rules and introduced
-stories that made sense in that changing paradigm. Staying in one place means
-that possessions became more important and therefore inheritance. Often when
-religion is discussed by behavioral biologists, historians and anthropologists
-they stress this cultural narrative aspect. Also mentioned is that such societies
-were willing to support (in food and shelter) the ones that didn't normally fit
-it but added to the spiritual character of religions. The social and welcoming
-aspect is definitely present in for instance Bacho\TEX\ conferences although a
-bystander can wonder what these folks are doing in the middle of the night around
-a campfire, singing, drinking, frying sausages, spitting fire, and discussing the
-meaning of life.
-
-Those who wrap up the state of religious affairs, do predictions and advocate the
-message, are sometimes called evangelists. I remember a \TEX\ conference in the
-\USA\ where the gospel of \XML\ was preached (by someone from outside the \TEX\
-community). We were all invited to believe it. I was sitting in the back of the
-crowded (!)\ room and that speaker was not at all interested in who spoke before
-and after. Well, I do my share of \XML\ processing with \CONTEXT, but believe me:
-much of the \XML\ that we see is not according to any gospel. It's probably
-blessed the same way as those state officials get blessed when they ask and pray
-for it in public.
-
-It can get worse at \TEX\ conferences. Some present here at Bacho\TEX\ might
-remember the \PDF\ evangelists that we had show up at \TEX\ conferences. You see
-this qualification occasionally and I have become quite allergic to
-qualifications like architect, innovator, visionary, inspirator and evangelist,
-even worse when they look young but qualify as senior. I have no problem with
-religion at all but let's stay away from becoming one. And yes, typography also
-falls into that trap, so we have to be doubly careful.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startplacefigure[location=top]
- \startcombination[nx=4,ny=1,width=\textwidth,distance=0pt]
- {\externalfigure[covers/from-bacteria-to-bach-and-back.jpg][height=5cm]} {philosophy}
- {\externalfigure[covers/the-lagoon.jpg] [height=5cm]} {science history}
- {\externalfigure[covers/chaos.jpg] [height=5cm]} {science}
- {\externalfigure[covers/why-zebras-dont-get-ulcers.jpg] [height=5cm]} {behavioral biology}
- \stopcombination
-\stopplacefigure
-
-\startsection[title=Chaotic solutions]
-
-The lectures on \quotation {chaos and reductionism} and \quotation {emergence and
-complexity} were the highlights in Sapolsky's lectures. I'm not a good narrator
-so I will not summarize them but it sort of boils down to the fact that certain
-classes of problems cannot be split up in smaller tasks that we understand well,
-after which we can reassemble the solutions to deal with the complex task.
-Emerging systems can however cook up working solutions from random events.
-Examples are colonies of ants and bees.
-
-The \TEX\ community is like a colony: we cook up solutions, often by trial and
-error. We dream of the perfect solutions but deep down know that esthetics cannot
-be programmed in detail. This is a good thing because it doesn't render us
-obsolete. At last year's Bacho\TEX, my nephew Teun and I challenged the anthill
-outside the canteen to typeset the \TEX\ logo with sticks but it didn't persist.
-So we don't need to worry about competition from that end. How do you program a
-hive mind anyway?
-
-When chaos theory evolved in the second half of the previous century not every
-scientist felt happy about it. Instead of converging to more perfect predictions
-and control in some fields a persistent uncertainty became reality.
-
-After about a decade of using \TEX\ and writing macros to solve recurring
-situations I came to the conclusion that striving for a perfect \TEX\ (the
-engine) that can do everything and anything makes no sense. Don Knuth not only
-stopped adding code when he could do what he needed for his books, he also stuck
-to what to me seems reasonable endpoints. Every hard|-|coded solution beyond that
-is just that: a hard|-|coded solution that is not able to deal with the
-exceptions that make up most of the more complex documents. Of course we can
-theorize and discuss at length the perfect never|-|reachable solutions but
-sometimes it makes more sense to admit that an able user of a desktop publishing
-system can do that job in minutes, just by looking at the result and moving
-around an image or piece of text a bit.
-
-There are some hard|-|coded solutions and presets in the programs but with
-\LUATEX\ and \MPLIB\ we try to open those up. And that's about it. Thinking that
-for instance adding features like protrusion or expansion (or whatever else)
-always lead to better results is just a dream. Just as a butterfly flapping its
-wings on one side of the world can have an effect on the other side, so can
-adding a single syllable to your source completely confuse an otherwise clever
-column or page break algorithm. So, we settle for not adding more to the engine,
-and provide just a flexible framework.
-
-A curious observation is that when Edward Lorenz ran into chaotic models it was
-partially due to a restart of a simulation midway, using printed floating point
-numbers that then in the computer were represented with a different accuracy than
-printed. Aware of floating point numbers being represented differently across
-architectures, Don Knuth made sure that \TEX\ was insensitive to this so that its
-outcome was predictable, if you knew how it worked internally. Maybe \LUATEX\
-introduces a bit of chaos because the \LUA\ we use has only floats. In fact, a
-few months ago we did uncover a bug in the backend where the same phenomena gave
-a chaotic crash.
-
-In chaos theory there is the concept of an attractor. When visualized this can be
-the area (seemingly random) covered by a trajectory. Or it can be a single point
-where for instance a pendulum comes to rest. So what is our attractor? We have a
-few actually. First there is the engine, the stable core of primitives always
-present. You often see programs grow more complex every update and for sure that
-happened with \ETEX, \PDFTEX, \XETEX\ and \LUATEX. However there is always the
-core that is supposed to be stable. After some time the new kid arrives at a
-stable state not much different from the parent. The same is true for \METAPOST.
-Fonts are somewhat different because the technology changes but in the end the
-shapes and their interactions become stable as well. Yet another example is \TEX\
-Live: during a year it might diverge from its route but eventually it settles
-down and enters the area where we expect it to end up. The \TEX\ world is at
-times chaotic, but stable in the long run.
-
-So, how about the existence, the reason for it still being around? One can
-speculate about its future trajectory but one thing is sure: as long as we break
-a text into paragraphs and pages \TEX\ is hard to beat. But what if we don't need
-that any more? What if the concept of a page is no longer relevant? What if
-justified texts no longer matter (often designers don't care anyway)? What if
-students are no longer challenged to come up with a nice looking thesis? Do these
-collaborative tools with remote \TEX\ processing really bring new long term users
-or is \TEX\ then just one of the come|-|and|-|go tools?
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=Looking ahead]
-
-In an interview (\quotation {World of ideas}) Asimov explains that science
-fiction evolved rapidly when people lived long enough to see that there was a
-future (even for their offspring) that is different from today. It is (at least
-for me) mind boggling to think of an evolution of hundreds of thousands of years
-to achieve something like language. Waiting for the physical being to arrive at a
-spot where you can make sounds, where the brain is suitable for linguistic
-patterns, etc. A few hundred years ago speed of any developments (and science)
-stepped up.
-
-\TEX\ is getting near 40 years old. Now, for software that {\bf is} old! In that
-period we have seen computers evolve: thousands of times faster processing, even
-more increase in memory and storage. If we read about spaceships that travel at a
-reasonable fraction of the speed of light, and think that will not happen soon,
-just think back to the terminals that were sitting in computer labs when \TEX\
-was developed: 300 baud was normal. I actually spent quite some time on
-optimizing time|-|critical components of \CONTEXT\ but on this timescale that is
-really a waste of time. But even temporary bottlenecks can be annoying (and
-costly) enough to trigger such an effort. (Okay, I admit that it can be a
-challenge, a kind of game, too.)
-
-Neil Tyson, in the video \quotation {Storytelling of science} says that when
-science made it possible to make photos it also made possible a transition in
-painting to impressionism. Other technology could make the exact snapshot so
-there was new room for inner feelings and impressions. When the Internet showed
-up we went through a similar transition, but \TEX\ actually dates from before the
-Internet. Did we also have a shift in typesetting? To some extent yes, browsers
-and real time rendering is different from rendering pages on paper. In what space
-and time are \TEX ies rooted?
-
-We get older than previous generations. Quoting Sapolsky \quotation{\unknown\ we
-are now living well enough and long enough to slowly fall apart.} The opposite is
-happening with our tools, especially software: it's useful lifetime becomes
-shorter and changes faster each year. Just look at the version numbers of
-operating systems. Don Knuth expected \TEX\ to last for a long time and compared
-to other software its core concept and implementation is doing surprisingly well.
-We use a tool that suits our lifespan! Let's not stress ourselves out too much
-with complex themes. (It helps to read \quotation {Why zebras don't get ulcers}.)
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=Memes]
-
-If you repeat a message often enough, even if it's something not true, it can
-become a meme that gets itself transferred across generations. Conferences like
-this is where they can evolve. We tell ourselves and the audience how good \TEX\
-is and because we spend so many hours, days, weeks, months using it, it actually
-must be good, or otherwise we would not come here and talk about it. We're not so
-stupid as to spend time on something not good, are we? We're always surprised
-when we run into a (potential) customer who seems to know \TEX. It rings a bell,
-and it being around must mean something. Somehow the \TEX\ meme has anchored
-itself when someone attended university. Even if experiences might have been bad
-or usage was minimal. The meme that \TEX\ is the best in math typesetting is a
-strong survivor.
-
-There's a certain kind of person who tries to get away with their own deeds and
-decisions by pointing to \quotation {fake news} and accusations of \quotation
-{mainstream media} cheating on them. But to what extent are our stories true
-about how easy \TEX\ macro packages are to use and how good their result? We have
-to make sure we spread the right memes. And the user groups are the guardians.
-
-Maybe macro packages are like memes too. In the beginning there was a bunch but
-only some survived. It's about adaptation and evolution. Maybe competition was
-too fierce in the beginning. Like ecosystems, organisms and cellular processes in
-biology we can see the \TEX\ ecosystem, users and usage, as a chaotic system.
-Solutions pop up, succeed, survive, lead to new ones. Some look similar and
-slightly different input can give hugely different outcomes. You cannot really
-look too far ahead and you cannot deduce the past from the present. Whenever
-something kicks it off its stable course, like the arrival of color, graphics,
-font technologies, \PDF, \XML, ebooks, the \TEX\ ecosystem has to adapt and find
-its stable state again. The core technology has proven to be quite fit for the
-kind of adaptation needed. But still, do it wrong and you get amplified out of
-existence, don't do anything and the external factors also make you extinct.
-There is no denial that (in the computer domain) \TEX\ is surprisingly stable and
-adaptive. It's also hard not to see how conservatism can lead to extinction.
-
-\startplacefigure[location=top]
- \startcombination[nx=4,ny=1,width=\textwidth,distance=0pt]
- {\externalfigure[covers/the-epigenetics-revolution.jpg] [height=5cm]} {genetics}
- {\externalfigure[covers/dark-matter-and-the-dinosaurs.jpg][height=5cm]} {physics}
- {\externalfigure[covers/the-world-without-us.jpg] [height=5cm]} {history}
- {\externalfigure[covers/what-we-cannot-know.jpg] [height=5cm]} {science}
- \stopcombination
-\stopplacefigure
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=Inspiration]
-
-I just took some ideas from different fields. I could have mentioned quantum
-biology, which tries to explain some unexplainable phenomena in living creatures.
-For instance how do birds navigate without visible and measurable clues. How do
-people arrive at \TEX\ while we don't really advertise? Or I could mention
-epigenetics and explorations in junk \DNA. It's not the bit of the genome that we
-thought that matters, but also the expression of the genes driven by other
-factors. Offspring not only gets genetic material passed but it can get presets.
-How can the \TEX\ community pass on Knuth's legacy? Do we need to hide the
-message in subtle ways? Or how about the quest for dark matter? Does it really
-exist or do we want (need) it to exist? Does \TEX\ really have that many users,
-or do we cheat by adding the users that are enforced during college but don't
-like it at all? There's enough inspiration for topics at \TEX\ conferences, we
-just have to look around us.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=Stability]
-
-I didn't go into technical aspects of \TEX\ yet. I must admit that after decades
-of writing macros I've reached a point where I can safely say that there will
-never be perfect automated solutions for really complex documents. When books
-about neural networks show up I wondered if it could be applied (but I couldn't).
-When I ran into genetic algorithms I tried to understand its possible impact (but
-I never did). So I stuck to writing solutions for problems using visualization:
-the trial and error way. Of course, speaking of \CONTEXT, I will adapt what is
-needed, and others can do that as well. Is there a new font technology? Fine,
-let's support it as it's no big deal, just a boring programming task. Does a user
-want a new mechanism? No problem, as solving a reduced subset of problems can be
-fun. But to think of \TEX\ in a reductionist way, i.e.\ solving the small
-puzzles, and to expect the whole to work in tandem to solve a complex task is not
-trivial and maybe even impossible. It's a good thing actually, as it keeps us on
-edge. Also, \CONTEXT\ was designed to help you with your own solutions: be
-creative.
-
-I mentioned my nephew Bram. He has seen part of this crowd a few times, just like
-his brother and sister do now. He's into artificial intelligence now. In a few
-years I'll ask him how he sees the current state of \TEX\ affairs. I might learn
-a few tricks in the process.
-
-In \quotation {The world without us} Weisman explores how fast the world would be
-void of traces of humankind. A mere 10.000 years can be more than enough. Looking
-back, that's about the time hunters became farmers. So here's a challenge: say
-that we want an ant culture that evolves to the level of having archaeologists to
-know that we were here at Bacho\TEX\ \unknown\ what would we leave behind?
-
-Sapolsky ends his series by stressing that we should accept and embrace
-individual differences. The person sitting next to you can have the same makeup
-but be just a bit more sensitive to depression or be the few percent with genes
-controlling schizophrenic behaviour. He stresses that knowing how things work or
-where things go wrong doesn't mean that we should fix everything. So look at this
-room full of \TEX ies: we don't need to be all the same, use all the same, we
-don't need some dominance, we just need to accept and especially we need to
-understand that we can never fully understand (and solve) everything forever.
-
-Predictions, one of the themes, can be hard. It's not true that science has the
-answer to everything. There will always be room for speculation and maybe we will
-always need metaphysics too. I just started to read \quotation {What we cannot
-know} by Sautoy. For sure those present here can not predict how \TEX\ will go on
-and|/|or be remembered.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=Children of \TEX]
-
-I mentioned \quotation {Children of time}. The author lets you see their spidery
-world through spider eyes and physiology. They have different possibilities
-(eyesight, smell) than we do and also different mental capabilities. They evolve
-rapidly and have to cope conceptually with signals from a human surveillance
-satellite up in the sky. Eventually they need to deal with a bunch of (of course)
-quarrelling humans who want their place on the planet. We humans have some
-pre|-|occupation with spiders and other creatures. In a competitive world it is
-sometimes better to be suspicious (and avoid and flee) that to take a risk of
-being eaten. A frequently used example is that a rustle in a bush can be the wind
-or a lion, so best is to run.
-
-We are not that well adapted to our current environment. We evolved at a very
-slow pace so there was no need to look ahead more than a year. And so we still
-don't look too far ahead (and choose politicians accordingly). We can also not
-deal that well with statistics (Dawkins's \quotation {Climbing Mount Probability}
-is a good read) so we make false assumptions, or just forget.
-
-Does our typeset text really look that good on the long run, or do we cheat with
-statistics? It's not too hard to find a bad example of something not made by
-\TEX\ and extrapolate that to the whole body of typeset documents. Just like we
-can take a nice example of something done by \TEX\ and assume that what we do
-ourselves is equally okay. I still remember the tests we did with \PDFTEX\ and
-hz. When \THANH\ and I discussed that with Hermann Zapf he was not surprised at
-all that no one saw a difference between the samples and instead was focusing on
-aspects that \TEX ies are told to look at, like two hyphens in a row.
-
-A tool like \TEX\ has a learning curve. If you don't like that just don't use it.
-If you think that someone doesn't like that, don't enforce this tool on that
-someone. And don't use (or lie with) statistics. Much better arguments are that
-it's a long|-|lived stable tool with a large user base and support. That it's not
-a waste of time. Watching a designer like Hermann Zapf draw shapes is more fun
-than watching click and point in heavily automated tools. It's probably also less
-fun to watch a \TEX ie converge towards a solution.
-
-Spiders are resilient. Ants maybe even more. Ants will survive a nuclear blast
-(mutations might even bring them benefits), they can handle the impact of a
-meteorite, a change in climate won't harm them much. Their biggest enemy is
-probably us, when we try to wipe them out with poison. But, as long as they keep
-a low profile they're okay. \TEX\ doesn't fit into the economic model as there is
-no turnaround involved, no paid development, it is often not seen at all, it's
-just a hit in a search engine and even then you might miss it (if only because no
-one pays for it being shown at the top).
-
-We can learn from that. Keeping a low profile doesn't trigger the competition to
-wipe you out. Many (open source) software projects fade away: some big company
-buys out the developer and stalls the project or wraps what they bought in their
-own stuff, other projects go professional and enterprise and alienate the
-original users. Yet others abort because the authors lose interest. Just like the
-ideals of socialism don't automatically mean that every attempt to implement it
-is a success, so not all open source and free software is good (natured) by
-principle either. The fact that communism failed doesn't mean that capitalism is
-better and a long term winner. The same applies to programs, whether successful
-or not.
-
-Maybe we should be like the sheep. Dennett uses these animals as a clever
-species. They found a way to survive by letting themselves (unconsciously) be
-domesticated. The shepherd guarantees food, shelter and protection. He makes sure
-they don't get ill. Speaking biologically: they definitely made sure that many
-copies of their genes survived. Cows did the same and surprisingly many of them
-are related due to the fact that they share the same father (something now trying
-to be reverted). All \TEX\ spin|-|offs relate to the same parent, and those that
-survived are those that were herded by user groups. We see bits and pieces of
-\TEX\ end up in other applications. Hyphenation is one of them. Maybe we should
-settle for that small victory in a future hall of fame.
-
-When I sit on my balcony and look at the fruit trees in my garden, some simple
-math can be applied. Say that one of the apple trees has 100 apples per year and
-say that this tree survives for 25 years (it's one of those small manipulated
-trees). That makes 2.500 apples. Without human intervention only a few of these
-apples make it into new trees, otherwise the whole world would be dominated by
-apple trees. Of course that tree now only survives because we permit it to
-survive, and for that it has to be humble (something that is very hard for modern
-Apples). Anyway, the apple tree doesn't look too unhappy.
-
-A similar calculation can be done for birds that nest in the trees and under my
-roof. Given that the number of birds stays the same, most of energy spent on
-raising offspring is wasted. Nevertheless they seem to enjoy life. Maybe we
-should be content if we get one enthusiastic new user when we demonstrate \TEX\
-to thousands of potential users.
-
-Maybe, coming back to the themes of the conference, we should not come up with
-these kinds of themes. We seem to be quite happy here. Talking about the things
-that we like, meeting people. We just have to make sure that we survive. Why not
-stay low under the radar? That way nothing will see us as a danger. Let's be like
-the ants and spiders, the invisible hive mind that carries our message, whatever
-that is.
-
-When Dennett discusses language he mentions (coined) words that survive in
-language. He also mentions that children pick up language no matter what. Their
-minds are made for it. Other animals don't do that: they listen but don't start
-talking back. Maybe \TEX\ is just made for certain minds. Some like it and pick
-it up, while for others it's just noise. There's nothing wrong with that.
-Predilection can be a user property.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title={The unexpected}]
-
-In a discussion with Dawkins the well|-|spoken astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson
-brings up the following. We differ only a few percent in \DNA\ from a chimp but
-quite a lot in brain power, so how would it be if an alien that differs a few
-percent (or more) passes by earth. Just like we don't talk to ants or chimps or
-whatever expecting an intelligent answer, whatever passes earth won't bother
-wasting time on us. Our rambling about the quality of typesetting probably sounds
-alien to many people who just want to read and who happily reflow a text on an
-ebook device, not bothered by a lack of quality.
-
-\startplacefigure[location=top]
- \startcombination[nx=4,ny=1,width=\textwidth,distance=0pt]
- {\externalfigure[covers/live-as-we-do-not-know-it.jpg][height=5cm]} {astrobiology}
- {\externalfigure[covers/life-on-the-edge.jpg] [height=5cm]} {quantumbiology}
- {\externalfigure[covers/rare-earth.jpg] [height=5cm]} {astrophysics}
- {\externalfigure[covers/austerity.jpg] [height=5cm]} {economics}
- \stopcombination
-\stopplacefigure
-
-We tend to take ourselves as reference. In \quotation {Rare Earth} Ward and
-Brownlee extrapolate the possibility of life elsewhere in the universe. They are
-not alone in thinking that while on one hand applying statistics to these
-formulas of possible life on planets there might also be a chance that we're the
-only intelligent species ever evolved. In a follow up, \quotation {Life as we do
-not know it} paleontologist and astrobiologist Ward (one of my favourite authors)
-discusses the possibility of life not based on carbon, which is not natural for a
-carbon based species. Carl Sagan once pointed out that an alien species looking
-down to earth can easily conclude that cars are the dominant species on earth and
-that the thingies crawling in and out them are some kind of parasites. So, when
-we look at the things that somehow end up on paper (as words, sentences,
-ornaments, etc.), what is dominant there? And is what we consider dominant really
-that dominant in the long run? You can look at a nice page as a whole and don't
-see the details of the content. Maybe beauty hides nonsense.
-
-When \TEX ies look around they look to similar technologies. Commands in shells
-and solutions done by scripting and programming. This make sense in the
-perspective of survival. However, if you want to ponder alternatives, maybe not
-for usage but just for fun, a completely different perspective might be needed.
-You must be willing to accept that communicating with a user of a \WYSIWYG\
-program might be impossible. If mutual puzzlement is a fact, then they can either
-be too smart and you can be too dumb or the reverse. Or both approaches can be
-just too alien, based on different technologies and assumptions. Just try to
-explain \TEX\ to a kid 40 years younger or to an 80 year old grandparent for that
-matter. Today you can be very clever in one area and very stupid in another.
-
-In another debate, Neil deGrasse Tyson asks Dawkins the question why in science
-fiction movies the aliens look so human and when they don't, why they look so
-strange, for instance like cumbersome sluggish snails. The response to that is
-one of puzzlement: the opponent has no reference of such movies. In discussions
-old \TEX ies like to suggest that we should convert young users. They often don't
-understand that kids live in a different universe.
-
-How often does that happen to us? In a world of many billions \TEX\ has its place
-and can happily coexist with other typesetting technologies. Users of other
-technologies can be unaware of us and even create wrong images. In fact, this
-also happens in the community itself: (false) assumptions turned into
-conclusions. Solutions that look alien, weird and wrong to users of the same
-community. Maybe something that I present as hip and modern and high|-|\TEX\ and
-promising might be the opposite: backward, old|-|fashioned and of no use to
-others. Or maybe it is, but the audience is in a different mindset. Does it
-matter? Let's just celebrate that diversity. (So maybe, instead of discussing the
-conference theme, I should have talked about how I abuse \LUATEX\ in controlling
-lights in my home as part of some IoT experiments.)
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=What drives us]
-
-I'm no fan of economics and big money talk makes me suspicious. I cannot imagine
-working in a large company where money is the drive. It also means that I have
-not much imagination in that area. We get those calls at the office from far away
-countries who are hired to convince us by phone of investments. Unfortunately
-mentioning that you're not at all interested in investments or that multiplying
-money is irrelevant to you does not silence the line. You have to actively kill
-such calls. This is also why I probably don't understand today's publishing world
-where money also dominates. Recently I ran into talks by Mark Blyth about the
-crisis (what crisis?) and I wish I could argue like he does when it comes to
-typesetting and workflows. He discusses quite well that most politicians have no
-clue what the crisis is about.
-
-I think that the same applies to the management of publishers: many have no clue
-what typesetting is about. So they just throw lots of money into the wrong
-activities, just like the central banks seem to do. It doesn't matter if we \TEX
-ies demonstrate cheap and efficient solutions.
-
-Of course there are exceptions. We're lucky to have some customers that do
-understand the issues at hand. Those are also the customers where authors may use
-the tools themselves. Educating publishers, and explaining that authors can do a
-lot, might be a premise, predilection and prediction in one go! Forget about
-those who don't get it: they will lose eventually, unfortunately not before they
-have reaped and wasted the landscape.
-
-Google, Facebook, Amazon, Microsoft and others invest a lot in artificial
-intelligence (or, having all that virtual cash, just buy other companies that
-do). They already have such entities in place to analyze whatever you do. It is
-predicted that at some point they know more about you then you know yourself.
-Reading Luke Dormehl's \quotation {The Formula} is revealing. So what will that
-do with our so|-|called (disputed by some) free will? Can we choose our own
-tools? What if a potential user is told that all his or her friends use
-WhateverOffice so they'd better do that too? Will subtle pressure lead them or
-even us users away from \TEX ? We already see arguments among \TEX ies, like
-\quotation {It doesn't look updated in 3 years, is it still good?} Why update
-something that is still valid? Will the community be forced to update everything,
-sort of fake updates. Who sets out the rules? Do I really need to update (or
-re|-|run) manuals every five years?
-
-Occasionally I visit the Festo website. This is a (family owned) company that
-does research at the level that used to be common in large companies decades ago.
-If I had to choose a job, that would be the place to go to. Just google for
-\quotation {festo bionic learning network} and you understand why. We lack this
-kind of research in the field we talk about today: research not driven by
-commerce, short term profit, long term control, but because it is fundamental
-fun.
-
-Last year Alan Braslau and I spent some time on \BIBTEX. Apart from dealing with
-all the weird aspects of the \APA\ standard, dealing with the inconsistently
-constructed author fields is a real pain. There have been numerous talks about
-that aspect here at Bacho\TEX\ by Jean|-|Michel Hufflen. We're trying to deal
-with a more than 30|-|year|-|old flawed architecture. Just look back over a curve
-that backtracks 30 years of exponential development in software and databases and
-you realize that it's a real waste of time and a lost battle. It's fine to have a
-text based database, and stable formats are great, but the lack of structure is
-appalling and hard to explain to young programmers. Compare that to the Festo
-projects and you realize that there can be more challenging projects. Of course,
-dealing with the old data can be a challenge, a necessity and eventually even be
-fun, but don't even think that it can be presented as something hip and modern.
-We should be willing to admit flaws. No wonder that Jean|-|Michel decided to
-switch to talking about music instead. Way more fun.
-
-Our brains are massively parallel bio|-|machinery. Groups of neurons cooperate
-and compete for attention. Coming up with solutions that match what comes out of
-our minds demands a different approach. Here we still think in traditional
-programming solutions. Will new ideas about presenting information, the follow up
-on books come from this community? Are we the innovative Festo or are we an old
-dinosaur that just follows the fashion?
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=User experience]
-
-Here is a nice one. Harari spends many pages explaining that research shows that
-when an unpleasant experience has less unpleasantness at the end of the period
-involved, the overall experience is valued according to the last experience. Now,
-this is something we can apply to working with \TEX: often, the more you reach
-the final state of typesetting the more it feels as all hurdles are in the
-beginning: initial coding, setting up a layout, figuring things out, etc.
-
-It can only get worse if you have a few left|-|over typesetting disasters but
-there adapting the text can help out. Of course seeing it in a cheap bad print
-can make the whole experience bad again. It happens. There is a catch here: one
-can find lots of bad|-|looking documents typeset by \TEX. Maybe there frustration
-(or indifference) prevails.
-
-I sometimes get to see what kind of documents people make with \CONTEXT\ and it's
-nice to see a good looking thesis with diverse topics: science, philosophy,
-music, etc. Here \TEX\ is just instrumental, as what it is used for is way more
-interesting (and often also more complex) than the tool used to get it on paper.
-We have conferences but they're not about rocket science or particle
-accelerators. Proceedings of such conferences can still scream \TEX, but it's the
-content that matters. Here somehow \TEX\ still sells itself, being silently
-present in rendering and presentations. It's like a rootkit: not really
-appreciated and hard to get rid of. Does one discuss the future of rootkits other
-than in the perspective of extinction? So, even as an invisible rootkit, hidden
-in the workings of other programs, \TEX's future is not safe. Sometimes, when you
-install a Linux system, you automatically get this large \TEX\ installation,
-either because of dependencies or because it is seen as a similar toolkit as for
-instance Open (or is it Libre) Office. If you don't need it, that user might as
-well start seeing it as a (friendly) virus.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=Conclusion]
-
-At some point those who introduced computers in typesetting had no problem
-throwing printing presses out of the window. So don't pity yourself if at some
-point in the near future you figure out that professional typesetting is no
-longer needed. Maybe once we let machines rule the world (even more) we will be
-left alone and can make beautiful documents (or whatever) just for the joy, not
-bothering if we use outdated tools. After all, we play modern music on old
-instruments (and the older rock musicians get, the more they seem to like
-acoustic).
-
-There are now computer generated compositions that experienced listeners cannot
-distinguish from old school. We already had copies of paintings that could only
-be determined forgeries by looking at chemical properties. Both of these
-(artificial) arts can be admired and bring joy. So, the same applies to fully
-automated typeset novels (or runtime rendered ebooks). How bad is that really?
-You don't dig channels with your hand. You don't calculate logarithmic tables
-manually any longer.
-
-However, one of the benefits of the Internet is watching and listening to great
-minds. Another is seeing musicians perform, which is way more fun that watching a
-computer (although googling for \quotation {animusic} brings nice visuals).
-Recently I ran into a wooden musical computer made by \quotation {Wintergatan}
-which reminded me of the \quotation {Paige Compositor} that we use in a \LUATEX\
-cartoon. Watching something like that nicely compensates for a day of rather
-boring programming. Watching how the marble machine x (mmx) evolves is yet
-another nice distraction.
-
-Now, the average age of the audience here is pretty high even if we consider that
-we get older. When I see solutions of \CONTEXT\ users (or experts) posted by
-(young) users on the mailing list or stack exchange I often have to smile because
-my answer would have been worse. A programmable system invokes creative
-solutions. My criterion is always that it has to look nice in code and has some
-elegance. Many posted solutions fit. Do we really want more automation? It's more
-fun to admire the art of solutions and I'm amazed how well users use the
-possibilities (even ones that I already forgot).
-
-One of my favourite artists on my weekly \quotation {check youtube} list is Jacob
-Collier. Right from when I ran into him I realized that a new era in music had
-begun. Just google for his name and \quotation {music theory interview} and you
-probably understand what I mean. When Dennett comments on the next generation
-(say up to 25) he wonders how they will evolve as they grow up in a completely
-different environment of connectivity. I can see that when I watch family
-members. Already long ago Greg Bear wrote the novel \quotation {Darwin's
-Children}. It sets you thinking and when looking around you even wonder if there
-is a truth in it.
-
-There are folks here at Bacho\TEX\ who make music. Now imagine that this is a
-conference about music and that the theme includes the word \quotation {future}.
-Then, imagine watching that video. You see some young musicians, one of them
-probably one of the musical masterminds of this century, others instrumental to
-his success, for instance by wrapping up his work. While listening you realize
-that this next generation knows perfectly well what previous generations did and
-achieved and how they influenced the current. You see the future there. Just look
-at how old musicians reflect on such videos. (There are lots of examples of youth
-evolving into prominent musicians around and I love watching them). There is no
-need to discuss the future, in fact, we might make a fool of ourselves doing so.
-Now back to this conference. Do we really want to discuss the future? What we
-think is the future? Our future? Why not just hope that in the flow of getting
-words on a medium we play our humble role and hope we're not forgotten but
-remembered as inspiration.
-
-One more word about predicting the future. When Arthur Clarke's \quotation {2001:
-A Space Odyssey} was turned into a movie in 1968, a lot of effort went into
-making sure that the not so far ahead future would look right. In 1996 scientists
-were asked to reflect on these predictions in \quotation {Hal's Legacy}. It
-turned out that most predictions were plain wrong. For instance computers got way
-smaller (and even smaller in the next 20 years) while (self|-|aware) artificial
-intelligence had not arrived either. So, let's be careful in what we predict (and
-wish for).
-
-\stopsection
-
-\startsection[title=No more themes]
-
-We're having fun here, that's why we come to Bacho\TEX\ (predilection). That
-should be our focus. Making sure that \TEX's future is not so much in the cutting
-edge but in providing fun to its users (prediction). So we just have to make sure
-it stays around (premise). That's how it started out. Just watch at Don Knuth's
-3:16 poster: via \TEX\ and \METAFONT\ he got in contact with designers and I
-wouldn't be surprised if that sub|-|project was among the most satisfying parts.
-So, maybe instead of ambitious themes the only theme that matters is: show what
-you did and how you did it.
-
-\stopsection
-
-\stopchapter
-
-\stopcomponent